Sunny Tuesday with more warm air, followed by rain and thunderstorms for Wednesday and Thursday

SAGINAW, Mich. (WNEM) – The milder weather we have been enjoying for the past few days continues today! However, we are still tracking rain and storm risk for Wednesday and Thursday, and our severe weather risk is also still on the table. All this as a larger low pressure system passes west of the Great Lakes over the next two days.

Afternoon

Sunny morning skies will continue well into the afternoon, but clouds will begin to return throughout the evening. The sun will again allow temperatures to climb into the 60s this afternoon! Our wind will persist from the south southeast between 5 and 15 mph.

Tonight temperatures are holding in the 50s with dry weather still holding, although more clouds are forming. It’s all before the rain that we expect for Wednesday and Thursday. With sunset at 8.15pm today, you’ll still have fantastic weather to enjoy the weather outside!

This evening

Overcast skies return with scattered showers and a few rumbles of thunder after midnight. However, there will be breaks between these showers. This will be the first of a few spells of rain through Wednesday. Tonight’s lows will remain softer, numbers land well into the lower 50s. The wind will pick up, however, with a speed of 10 to 20 mph from the southeast.

Wednesday

Rain and thunderstorms will come in another wave during Wednesday afternoon and then again late in the evening. It was then that the cold front of the passing depression swept through Mid-Michigan. Daytime thunderstorms could be stronger and possibly bring small hail; however, daytime storms are expected to remain below the severe threshold.

The risk of severe weather is still running especially for Wednesday evening, the Storm Prediction Center still has a marginal risk (1 in 5) for this period. As the low’s cold front moves in, a few severe storms could eventually kick in ahead of it. At this time, strong wind gusts, hail, heavy rain, and an isolated tornado are all possible, but the impact of strong wind gusts is most likely to be seen in our area. The timing of the cold front is imperative. We are still on track for a more late night arrival, but if that happens earlier in Wednesday it could increase the threat of severe weather. As always, look for updates on this!

Even more warming occurs on Wednesday, with highs reaching around 71 in the afternoon. The wind will pick up from the south to 10 to 15 mph, gusting to over 25 mph during the day.

Thusday

Once the cold front has passed, the rain will stop quite abruptly. Skies will clear with more sunshine for the rest of the day. Highs will be impacted however, only reaching the lower 50 degrees behind the cold front. The wind will start to pick up, however, gusts will reach and even exceed 40 mph by Thursday afternoon. Precipitation when it’s all done will range from 0.50″ southeast of the Tri-Cities to nearly 1.0″ farther north and west.

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